Taffs Well vs Merthyr Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
45.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
TAF
1 - 6
MER
33%
25%
43%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
TAF
1 - 2
CAR
11%
19%
70%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TAF
1 - 3
AAF
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TAF
4 - 1
LID
28%
21%
50%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +3 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
TAF
0 - 2
CAM
21%
23%
56%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
TAF
1 - 6
MER
33%
25%
43%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
MER
2 - 2
LLA
8%
13%
79%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MER
7 - 1
HAR
68%
17%
15%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AFT
2 - 0
MER
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
WIN
2 - 0
MER
37%
26%
38%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |