Taffs Well vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
63.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
TAF
0 - 0
SUF
80%
14%
7%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
TAF
4 - 1
PON
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
AAF
0 - 5
TAF
20%
21%
59%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
LID
1 - 1
TAF
15%
20%
66%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
TRE
0 - 5
TAF
28%
22%
51%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 1
HAV
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
HAV
2 - 3
NEW
29%
27%
45%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 2
HAV
47%
24%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HAV
3 - 0
AIR
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 1
HAV
67%
19%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |