Taffs Well vs Caerau Ely analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
45.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
LID
1 - 2
TAF
58%
20%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
TAF
1 - 1
LLA
11%
18%
71%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +2 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
TAF
1 - 3
MER
31%
24%
46%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
TAF
1 - 6
MER
33%
25%
43%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
TAF
1 - 2
CAR
11%
19%
70%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 2
CAR
44%
23%
33%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
GOY
3 - 2
CAE
45%
22%
34%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 0
CAE
25%
22%
53%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 1
TRE
62%
19%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 3
CAE
9%
14%
77%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | +1 |