Tacuary vs Sportivo Ameliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
5º
12º
12º
33
3º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 0
TAC
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
ENC
0 - 0
TAC
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
SPT
2 - 3
TAC
53%
24%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 2
GUA
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 0
TAC
47%
27%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Ameliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
CCP
45%
27%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
AME
1 - 0
AME
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
JLM
0 - 4
AME
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 2
AME
26%
24%
51%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
AME
3 - 1
LQE
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |