Tacuary vs Sportivo Ameliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
5º
12º
11º
14
8º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 40 |
1º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 37 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 36 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 33 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 33 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 32 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 30 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 28 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 27 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 24 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 23 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 16 |
12º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 0
TAC
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
ENC
0 - 0
TAC
44%
24%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
SPT
2 - 3
TAC
53%
24%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 2
GUA
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 0
TAC
47%
27%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Ameliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
CCP
45%
27%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
AME
1 - 0
AME
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
JLM
0 - 4
AME
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 2
AME
26%
24%
51%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
AME
3 - 1
LQE
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |