Tacuary vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
12º
8º
22
9º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 3
CCP
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
AME
6 - 3
TAC
43%
27%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 0
LIB
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
2DE
3 - 1
TAC
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 0
SPT
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 1
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
NAC
3 - 0
AME
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
LIB
5 - 0
NAC
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NAC
3 - 1
2DE
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 1
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |