Tacuary vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
42.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
10º
12º
12º
33
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
LQE
2 - 0
TAC
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
TAC
2 - 0
RES
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
TAC
66%
21%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
TAC
2 - 2
JLM
33%
25%
43%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 3
AME
36%
29%
35%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CCP
4 - 1
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 1
LQE
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
RES
0 - 1
NAC
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 1
OLI
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 2
GUA
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |