Tacuary vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
46.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
AME
0 - 2
TAC
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 0
TAC
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
TAC
0 - 1
LIB
15%
22%
62%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
JLM
2 - 0
TAC
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
TAC
1 - 1
12O
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 3
LIB
29%
25%
46%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 1
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
JLM
1 - 2
NAC
41%
29%
31%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 2
12O
51%
27%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |