Tacuary vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
47%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
IND
2 - 1
TAC
51%
24%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 0
CER
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
TAC
56%
24%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
TAC
2 - 4
CCP
21%
26%
54%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 1
TAC
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
CAZ
4 - 1
NAC
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
LQE
2 - 1
NAC
24%
25%
51%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 3
COR
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 2
RÑU
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
IND
2 - 5
NAC
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |