Tacuary vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
50.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 1
TAC
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
LQE
3 - 1
TAC
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
TAC
0 - 1
SPT
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
AME
0 - 1
TAC
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
TAC
2 - 1
SPC
44%
27%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 2
NAC
25%
27%
49%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 0
LIB
42%
29%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
RÑU
1 - 1
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
NAC
4 - 3
SPC
67%
22%
11%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 1
GUA
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |