Tacuary vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
49.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
TAC
4 - 0
CER
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 0
TAC
76%
17%
8%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 2
LQE
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 2
TAC
76%
17%
7%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TAC
3 - 2
IND
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LQE
1 - 1
GUA
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 2
LIB
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
GUA
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
CCP
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |