Tacuary vs Guaireña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
12º
6º
24
2º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
TAC
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TAC
0 - 3
NAC
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TAC
0 - 0
OLI
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 2
SPT
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TAC
0 - 4
LIB
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 5
LIB
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
LQE
1 - 0
GUA
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
GUA
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 4
CCP
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
SPT
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |