Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 2-2
Tacuary vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
46.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
TAC
2 - 1
LIB
38%
29%
34%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 2
TAC
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
TAC
0 - 1
LQE
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
OLI
2 - 2
TAC
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
TAC
0 - 1
AME
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2007 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
DAN
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
DAN
0 - 1
PEÑ
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
DEF
0 - 2
DAN
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
DAN
2 - 0
LFC
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
JUN
0 - 1
DAN
29%
25%
47%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |