Tacuary vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
5º
12º
10º
18
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 41 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 34 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
|
3º
|
18 | 33 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 33 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 33 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 31 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 30 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 29 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 29 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 23 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 23 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 16 |
12º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 8.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 91.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
AME
1 - 2
TAC
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
TAC
2 - 1
JLM
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
LQE
1 - 1
TAC
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 2
2DE
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
AME
0 - 0
TAC
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 1
OLI
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 0
AME
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
JLM
2 - 1
CCP
38%
28%
35%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
CCP
4 - 0
LQE
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 0
AME
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |