Tacuary vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
40.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
10º
12º
12º
41
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
OPE
1 - 3
TAC
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 0
TAC
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
TAC
3 - 1
LQE
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
TAC
0 - 4
EST
23%
27%
50%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
RES
1 - 0
TAC
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
BOL
2 - 0
CCP
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CCP
2 - 0
LIB
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
CCP
43%
28%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
CCP
0 - 3
PAL
17%
24%
59%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CCP
1 - 2
JLM
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |