Tacuary vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
51.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
LQE
2 - 2
TAC
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AME
0 - 0
TAC
46%
25%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 1
GEN
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
IND
1 - 0
TAC
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
TAC
0 - 0
OLI
25%
28%
47%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
TAC
0 - 2
CCP
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
CCP
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 2
LIB
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 0
CCP
40%
28%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 0
LQE
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |