Tacuarembó FC vs Uruguay Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
44.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
9º
14º
13º
36
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
36 | 50 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 48 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 47 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 44 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 35 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 34 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 28 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 24 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 23 |
14º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 87.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 12.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuarembó FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
REN
2 - 0
TAC
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 0
CSC
63%
23%
14%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 0
TAC
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 0
TAC
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 0
ORI
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Uruguay Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
UMO
3 - 0
PLA
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
CCD
2 - 1
UMO
4%
11%
84%
|
79 | 7 | 72 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ORI
0 - 2
UMO
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
UMO
3 - 0
CSC
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 1
UMO
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |