Tacuarembó FC vs La Luz FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
9º
14º
14º
29
7º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuarembó FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
UMO
1 - 0
TAC
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 1
REN
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CSC
3 - 2
TAC
21%
26%
53%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
TAC
2 - 0
ATE
52%
26%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 1
PLA
39%
28%
34%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
La Luz FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
LUZ
2 - 1
PLA
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
ORI
1 - 0
LUZ
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
LUZ
6 - 0
CSC
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 1
LUZ
45%
28%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LUZ
0 - 1
TOR
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |