Tacuarembó FC vs Atenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
21.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
9º
14º
13º
23
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 49 |
1º
|
28.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 48 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 47 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 42 |
4º
|
52% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 36 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 35 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 33 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 32 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 31 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 31 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 31 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
41% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 25 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 92.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuarembó FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 1
PLA
39%
28%
34%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ORI
2 - 1
TAC
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TAC
2 - 2
ORI
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 0
TAC
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 3
UMO
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
ATE
0 - 0
COL
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 0
ATE
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 1
TOR
20%
26%
55%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
ATE
34%
30%
36%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ATE
0 - 1
REN
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |