Tacoma Defiance vs FC Tulsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
29.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
POR
6 - 3
TAC
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
TAC
1 - 4
MON
28%
23%
49%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
REN
5 - 0
TAC
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SAC
3 - 0
TAC
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
TAC
5 - 1
USA
21%
23%
56%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
FC Tulsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
TUL
4 - 3
USA
17%
22%
61%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
TUL
0 - 1
ORA
15%
21%
64%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
RGV
0 - 1
TUL
61%
22%
17%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
EPL
2 - 2
TUL
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
TUL
2 - 1
FFC
16%
22%
62%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | +1 |