Tacoma Defiance vs Sporting Kansas City II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 0
POR
74%
16%
10%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
TAC
3 - 0
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
TAC
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 1
STL
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
LAG
3 - 2
TAC
18%
22%
60%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Kansas City II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
SPK
2 - 2
AFC
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
STL
2 - 0
SPK
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
MON
5 - 1
SPK
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SPK
2 - 2
HOU
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
MIN
3 - 4
SPK
42%
24%
35%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |