Tacoma Defiance vs Sporting Kansas City II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
TAC
20%
23%
58%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
TAC
2 - 1
VAN
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
LAF
2 - 1
TAC
8%
17%
75%
|
58 | 15 | 43 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
LAG
1 - 1
TAC
22%
24%
54%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
TAC
3 - 0
NOT
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Kansas City II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
HOU
3 - 1
SPK
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
SPK
4 - 0
COR
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
NOT
1 - 2
SPK
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
SPK
2 - 1
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
SPK
22%
22%
56%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |