Tacoma Defiance vs San Diego Loyal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
47.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
LAG
1 - 1
TAC
64%
19%
17%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
ORA
0 - 0
TAC
62%
22%
17%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
LVG
1 - 0
TAC
44%
23%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
TAC
2 - 0
LAG
26%
22%
52%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
TAC
1 - 1
MON
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
San Diego Loyal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
SDL
0 - 1
ARI
27%
27%
45%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
SDL
2 - 1
ORA
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
SDL
0 - 1
TIJ
16%
22%
62%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
SDL
1 - 1
SAC
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
SDL
1 - 0
ORS
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |