Tacoma Defiance vs San Diego Loyal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
51.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
TAC
1 - 3
REN
32%
23%
45%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
TAC
3 - 1
AUB
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +4 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
NMU
1 - 1
TAC
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
TAC
2 - 0
COL
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FFC
1 - 4
TAC
80%
14%
6%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +3 |
Matches
San Diego Loyal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SDL
1 - 1
LVG
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
REN
2 - 4
SDL
33%
21%
46%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |