Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
TAC
3 - 0
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
TAC
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 1
STL
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
LAG
3 - 2
TAC
18%
22%
60%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
HOU
2 - 3
TAC
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Portland Timbers II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 3
POR
58%
21%
22%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 0
POR
46%
23%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
POR
3 - 3
LAG
50%
21%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
HOU
32%
23%
46%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
NOT
2 - 1
POR
75%
16%
10%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |