Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2022 |
COR
0 - 2
TAC
17%
21%
62%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2022 |
TAC
2 - 0
MON
76%
15%
8%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
NOT
1 - 1
TAC
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
TAC
4 - 1
HOU
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
TAC
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Portland Timbers II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2022 |
STL
3 - 1
POR
87%
10%
3%
|
32 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
SPK
28%
23%
48%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 0
POR
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
COR
3 - 1
POR
52%
20%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
MON
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |