Tacoma Defiance vs North Texas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 0
HOU
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 0
AFC
84%
11%
5%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
COR
1 - 2
TAC
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
SPK
2 - 2
TAC
27%
25%
47%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
TAC
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
North Texas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
NOT
2 - 2
LAF
90%
8%
2%
|
56 | 14 | 42 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
SPK
1 - 1
NOT
28%
25%
47%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 1
SAN
66%
19%
15%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
NOT
17%
22%
60%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
NOT
2 - 0
LAG
76%
15%
9%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |