Tacoma Defiance vs North Texas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
46.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
TAC
4 - 0
MON
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ARI
1 - 1
TAC
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
TAC
3 - 2
LAG
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
TAC
0 - 0
ORS
39%
25%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SAC
0 - 0
TAC
57%
22%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
North Texas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
NOT
3 - 1
MIN
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CRW
2 - 1
NOT
39%
26%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
NOT
1 - 1
OMA
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
NOT
4 - 1
NER
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
IMI
0 - 1
NOT
31%
26%
44%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |