Tacoma Defiance vs Minnesota United II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TAC
4 - 4
LAF
71%
17%
12%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 4
TAC
25%
24%
51%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
TAC
4 - 3
SPK
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 0
POR
74%
16%
10%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
TAC
3 - 0
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Minnesota United II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 0
COR
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 2
AFC
54%
22%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
NOT
4 - 0
MIN
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 3
HOU
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 3
POR
58%
21%
22%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |