Tacoma Defiance vs Las Vegas Lights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ORS
3 - 1
TAC
40%
25%
36%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
ORA
0 - 3
TAC
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
SDL
1 - 2
TAC
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
TAC
3 - 1
ORS
46%
24%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
TAC
1 - 1
SAC
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Las Vegas Lights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
LVG
2 - 3
LAG
32%
23%
44%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
LVG
1 - 3
ORS
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
SDL
5 - 1
LVG
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
SAC
2 - 1
LVG
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
LVG
2 - 2
ARI
13%
21%
66%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |