Tacoma Defiance vs Ventura County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
TAC
1 - 0
RGV
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ventura County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
LAG
1 - 4
COL
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SAC
1 - 0
LAG
59%
22%
20%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
SPK
5 - 1
LAG
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
LAG
1 - 2
SAC
35%
26%
38%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
SEA
2 - 2
LAG
23%
23%
54%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |