Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TAC
3 - 3
VAN
80%
14%
6%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MON
0 - 3
TAC
16%
22%
62%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
TAC
3 - 2
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
TAC
4 - 0
POR
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MIN
2 - 4
TAC
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Houston Dynamo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LAG
1 - 2
HOU
21%
21%
58%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
HOU
1 - 3
NOT
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
POR
1 - 3
HOU
25%
22%
53%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
HOU
1 - 3
STL
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
HOU
0 - 4
LAG
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |