Tacoma Defiance vs Fresno FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
TAC
1 - 1
REN
18%
22%
60%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
TAC
1 - 4
POR
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
OKC
2 - 1
TAC
61%
22%
18%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
USA
3 - 0
TAC
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
ARI
4 - 0
TAC
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fresno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2019 |
FFC
1 - 0
AUB
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
EFS
0 - 1
FFC
13%
19%
69%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2019 |
LAG
0 - 3
FFC
38%
24%
38%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
FFC
0 - 1
SAC
49%
26%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
MON
2 - 4
FFC
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |