Tabor Sežana vs Rudar Velenje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
16º
5º
4
8º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 59 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 54 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 54 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 51 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
|
2º
|
14 | 50 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 47 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 42 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 39 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 36 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 35 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 34 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 34 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 33 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
|
16º
|
4 | 30 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 24 |
16º
|
37.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
8% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
9.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
82.5% | 63% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 36.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tabor Sežana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
MNK
0 - 2
TAS
19%
21%
60%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 2
TAS
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TAS
3 - 0
BEL
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
TAS
0 - 0
GOR
31%
26%
44%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
TAS
3 - 2
NKJ
84%
11%
5%
|
55 | 15 | 40 | +1 |
Matches
Rudar Velenje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
KRS
1 - 3
RUD
37%
22%
42%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RUD
0 - 0
DRA
41%
25%
35%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BIS
2 - 1
RUD
52%
22%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
NKZ
0 - 3
RUD
5%
11%
84%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
RUD
2 - 2
TRI
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |