Taboão da Serra vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
46.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taboão da Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 2
TAB
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
ATI
1 - 1
TAB
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
TAB
2 - 1
GRE
27%
24%
49%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
SJS
3 - 0
TAB
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
IND
3 - 1
TAB
52%
25%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
COM
1 - 0
SJS
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
POR
2 - 0
COM
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
INT
1 - 1
COM
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
COM
1 - 0
OLI
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
COM
0 - 0
DES
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |