Tabasalu Charma vs Tartu Welco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
57.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
10º
10º
60
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tabasalu Charma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
MAK
0 - 2
TAB
9%
12%
79%
|
46 | 12 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TAB
1 - 3
TKA
35%
23%
42%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
VJK
1 - 0
TAB
76%
16%
9%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TAB
1 - 0
FCT
25%
23%
52%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 1
TAB
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tartu Welco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 0
FCE
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 3
WEL
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HJP
1 - 1
WEL
61%
20%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 3
VJK
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 5
FLO
41%
25%
35%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |