Tabasalu Charma vs Paide II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
27.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
5º
10º
10º
16
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 78 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 70 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 69 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 62 |
4º
|
74.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 49 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 48 |
6º
|
40% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
82% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 24 |
9º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 19 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
99.5% | 99% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tabasalu Charma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
HUN
1 - 3
TAB
8%
11%
82%
|
47 | 13 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HJP
5 - 1
TAB
79%
14%
8%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FLO
5 - 0
TAB
78%
13%
8%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
TAB
2 - 2
FCE
55%
22%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
LEV
5 - 1
TAB
61%
20%
18%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 2
WEL
21%
22%
57%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FCT
3 - 0
PAI
72%
16%
12%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PAI
3 - 1
LEV
25%
23%
52%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +2 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
TKA
3 - 5
PAI
66%
17%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 2
FCE
49%
22%
29%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |