Tabasalu Charma vs Nõmme United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
54.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
4º
9º
5º
90
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tabasalu Charma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
VJK
1 - 0
TAB
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 16
TAB
4%
9%
87%
|
53 | 6 | 47 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
TAB
7 - 4
JKJ
92%
6%
2%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
FCT
2 - 4
TAB
50%
23%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
TAB
4 - 0
FCE
72%
16%
12%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nõmme United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
NOM
4 - 0
LEV
61%
21%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
NOM
4 - 0
PIR
92%
6%
2%
|
61 | 14 | 47 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
FLO
0 - 3
NOM
37%
22%
41%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 0
NOM
23%
21%
56%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
FCD
0 - 12
NOM
3%
6%
91%
|
60 | 7 | 53 | 0 |