Sydney United vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
40.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
BRI
1 - 2
SYD
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
SYD
1 - 4
SYD
31%
26%
44%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
SYD
1 - 1
ADE
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2001 |
NEW
2 - 0
SYD
61%
22%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
SYD
0 - 2
PAP
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2002 |
SOU
2 - 1
NZK
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
PER
0 - 0
SOU
61%
21%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
MAR
1 - 0
SOU
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2001 |
SOU
1 - 3
SOU
46%
24%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
SOU
1 - 1
BRI
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |