Sydney United vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
46.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
PER
2 - 0
SYD
68%
20%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 0
SYD
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
SYD
0 - 0
SFC
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
BRI
2 - 0
SYD
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
SYD
2 - 0
NEW
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
PER
2 - 0
SYD
68%
20%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
PER
2 - 0
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
PER
2 - 0
SOU
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
PER
2 - 0
ADE
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
0 - 0
PER
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |