Sydney United vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 2
SYD
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 1
SYD
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1996 |
SYD
3 - 0
NCB
70%
19%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1996 |
SYD
1 - 0
BRI
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
CCO
1 - 1
SYD
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1996 |
NCB
1 - 4
MEL
28%
24%
48%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
WAD
1 - 0
MEL
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1996 |
MEL
2 - 0
BRI
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
MEL
0 - 0
MAR
42%
25%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
SYD
0 - 2
MEL
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |