Sydney United vs Gippsland Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2000 |
NZK
1 - 0
SYD
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
SYD
1 - 1
MEL
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
SYD
2 - 5
SOU
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
SOU
1 - 0
SYD
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
SYD
2 - 0
SYD
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
GIF
1 - 2
CSC
29%
27%
45%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2000 |
CCO
1 - 1
GIF
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
GIF
0 - 2
PAP
32%
27%
42%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2000 |
PAP
4 - 0
GIF
64%
21%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
GIF
2 - 1
BRI
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |