Sydney U21 vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
49.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
14º
6º
65
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
SYD
0 - 1
WSW
87%
8%
5%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NWS
1 - 0
SYD
4%
9%
87%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
SYD
2 - 1
WOL
80%
12%
9%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SYD
2 - 2
STG
87%
8%
5%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
SYD
1 - 0
BLA
28%
23%
49%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
API
3 - 0
SYD
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BLA
4 - 2
API
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
API
3 - 1
MAN
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CCM
1 - 2
API
3%
8%
90%
|
45 | 8 | 37 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
WSW
2 - 2
API
13%
19%
68%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |