Sydney Olympic vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
BRI
1 - 0
SYD
46%
24%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
SYD
2 - 1
SOU
45%
23%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
SYD
1 - 0
ADE
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
NEW
1 - 0
SYD
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
SYD
2 - 2
PAP
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
SOU
2 - 1
ADE
52%
24%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
SOU
0 - 1
NEW
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
SOU
2 - 0
PAP
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
SFC
1 - 0
SOU
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
SOU
0 - 1
MEL
50%
23%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |