Sydney Olympic vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
SYD
2 - 1
SYD
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1999 |
NCB
1 - 1
SYD
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
SYD
5 - 0
MAR
44%
25%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1999 |
BRI
2 - 1
SYD
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
SYD
2 - 3
SFC
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
SOU
2 - 0
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1999 |
NCB
0 - 0
SOU
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
SOU
3 - 1
MEL
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
SOU
2 - 1
SOU
37%
24%
39%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1999 |
SOU
1 - 0
WAD
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |