Sydney Olympic vs South Coast Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
MEL
1 - 1
SYD
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
PER
2 - 0
SYD
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
SYD
0 - 0
SYD
39%
27%
35%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
SYD
1 - 0
SFC
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
SYD
1 - 1
BRI
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
1 - 2
NZK
68%
19%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
4 - 1
SFC
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
NZK
1 - 1
SOU
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
1 - 1
MEL
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2003 |
SOU
2 - 3
SOU
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |