Sydney Olympic vs South Coast Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
SYD
2 - 1
PER
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2002 |
SFC
2 - 3
SYD
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
SYD
1 - 0
SYD
65%
20%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
SOU
6 - 4
SYD
46%
25%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
SYD
1 - 0
NEW
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
PER
3 - 1
SOU
50%
23%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
SOU
2 - 1
SFC
59%
22%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
SYD
2 - 1
SOU
31%
24%
45%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
SOU
0 - 0
SOU
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
NEW
2 - 0
SOU
33%
25%
42%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |