Sydney Olympic vs Parramatta Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
SYD
0 - 2
SYD
33%
25%
41%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
SYD
1 - 2
SUT
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
SYD
0 - 0
BLA
26%
23%
50%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 1
SYD
42%
25%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SYD
3 - 1
API
61%
21%
19%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Parramatta Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
PAE
3 - 1
SUT
50%
22%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
BLA
0 - 1
PAE
87%
9%
4%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
PAE
2 - 5
MAN
30%
22%
48%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
PAE
3 - 1
BLA
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
PAE
0 - 1
ROC
22%
22%
56%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |