Sydney Olympic vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
39.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
SOU
4 - 1
SYD
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
SYD
1 - 1
SOU
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
BRI
4 - 1
SYD
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
SYD
1 - 1
ADE
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
SYD
2 - 1
SYD
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
MEL
1 - 2
MAR
41%
26%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1996 |
MEL
2 - 0
NCB
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 1
MEL
44%
23%
33%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
MEL
0 - 0
SOU
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
BRI
2 - 1
MEL
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |