Sydney Olympic vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1995 |
NCB
2 - 2
SYD
46%
24%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
SYD
4 - 0
SOU
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
BRI
3 - 2
SYD
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1995 |
SYD
3 - 2
MEL
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
MAR
0 - 1
SYD
71%
17%
12%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
MEL
1 - 0
SOU
49%
24%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1995 |
ADE
0 - 2
MEL
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
MEL
3 - 2
SOU
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
MEL
1 - 2
ADE
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1995 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEL
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |