Sydney Olympic vs Marconi Stallions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
SYD
1 - 0
SYD
62%
22%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
SFC
4 - 0
SYD
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
BRI
1 - 1
SYD
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
PER
2 - 0
SYD
51%
24%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
SYD
3 - 1
PAP
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 1
SFC
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 1
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 1
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
MEL
1 - 1
MAR
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
PER
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +2 |